Black_Goat here. I’ve read and re-read your Double Swap theory re: Aegon, and while I find it somewhat persuasive, I’m still troubled by Varys’s motivations. He comes to Aerys after the DoD and within the span of five years has decided to completely change the political landscape of Westeros by replacing, reshaping, and then returning to power, the Targaryen family? Even as the ultimate utilitarian, *why* does he care so much about Westeros?

phamos:

racefortheironthrone:

lukanieto:

racefortheironthrone:

Because I think he ultimately does care for the good of the realm. He wants to build a kingdom where there isn’t poverty and exploitation, like the world he grew up in. 

That’s essentially what he tells Tyrion in Season 5, for what it’s worth (I know the books and the show are different beasts by now, but still.) According to the recent EW issue, Varys says he wants “peace, prosperity. A land where the powerful do not prey on the powerless.” And then he goes on to say the lines about a ruler loved by millions, heard in the trailer. I, for one, believe him.

I do as well. Varys isn’t motivated by money – he got all of that he needed in Pentos. We know he’s got motivations other than power – otherwise, why try to save Gendry? 

And then I go back to his childhood. Sold as a slave, horrifically mutilated, homeless, physically abused, survival prostitution – Varys has known what it is to be poor and exploited more than most, and I think he wants a systemic solution. 

Varys feels so deeply for the exploited and mutilated that he employs a network of orphaned spies whose tongues Illyrio cuts out for the sake of discretion? That’s in interesting way of expressing empathy. At least he’s kind enough to teach them how to read and write.

Well, that’s where Varys’ utilitarianism kicks in. He’s willing to wade through a pretty big ocean of blood to get to the promised land. So yes, one last generation of mutilated children to make a world in which children are safe. 

Black_Goat here. I’ve read and re-read your Double Swap theory re: Aegon, and while I find it somewhat persuasive, I’m still troubled by Varys’s motivations. He comes to Aerys after the DoD and within the span of five years has decided to completely change the political landscape of Westeros by replacing, reshaping, and then returning to power, the Targaryen family? Even as the ultimate utilitarian, *why* does he care so much about Westeros?

lukanieto:

racefortheironthrone:

Because I think he ultimately does care for the good of the realm. He wants to build a kingdom where there isn’t poverty and exploitation, like the world he grew up in. 

That’s essentially what he tells Tyrion in Season 5, for what it’s worth (I know the books and the show are different beasts by now, but still.) According to the recent EW issue, Varys says he wants “peace, prosperity. A land where the powerful do not prey on the powerless.” And then he goes on to say the lines about a ruler loved by millions, heard in the trailer. I, for one, believe him.

I do as well. Varys isn’t motivated by money – he got all of that he needed in Pentos. We know he’s got motivations other than power – otherwise, why try to save Gendry? 

And then I go back to his childhood. Sold as a slave, horrifically mutilated, homeless, physically abused, survival prostitution – Varys has known what it is to be poor and exploited more than most, and I think he wants a systemic solution. 

Black_Goat here. I’ve read and re-read your Double Swap theory re: Aegon, and while I find it somewhat persuasive, I’m still troubled by Varys’s motivations. He comes to Aerys after the DoD and within the span of five years has decided to completely change the political landscape of Westeros by replacing, reshaping, and then returning to power, the Targaryen family? Even as the ultimate utilitarian, *why* does he care so much about Westeros?

Because I think he ultimately does care for the good of the realm. He wants to build a kingdom where there isn’t poverty and exploitation, like the world he grew up in. 

Sorry if this is an obvious question, but when it comes to Edmure’s child, why would he be safe if its a girl and unsafe if its a boy? As they mention, if its a girl they’ll marry her to a Frey, but if its a boy they’ll kill Edmure. The Freys could strengthen their claim to Riverrun by wedding the girl, but the boy wouldn’t serve this purpose so they’d need to wait for a girl and the boy dies ‘stillborn’, right?

phamos:

racefortheironthrone:

The Freys want a male lord of Riverrun with Frey blood. So if Edmure has a son, they don’t need Edmure anymore, because the Tully claim is now inextricably linked to the Freys.

However, if Edmure has a daughter, then her claim is questionable – Hoster Tully could legitimately proceed her in the line of succession. 

You mean Brynden, yes? Since Hoster’s all dead and stuff.

Yes, will fix. 

Let’s say Gregor and Amory Lorch don’t kill Rhaella, Aegon, and Ella during the sack of KL. They instead keep Rhaegar’s children and wife hostage and present them to Robert Baratheon when Robert enters KL. What does Robert do? Can he afford to let Aegon live?

Aegon alive is the biggest danger. Rhaella can be married off to Renly to merge the two claims, but Aegon is a rallying point for Targaryen loyalists. 

Best-case scenario: Robert has Aegon held captive, so that Viserys can’t be the rightful heir, until Aegon is dead. 

You’ve previously discussed whether Robert and his allies had a legal right to rebel against Aerys under the feudal Westerosi monarchy. Any thoughts on whether Robb had a ‘legal’ right to secede under the same system?

I discuss the subject here. The thing people forget is that Robb doesn’t make the decision to secede – his bannermen make it by acclaiming him King in the North, and at that point he has to accept their decision if he wants them to fight for him. 

As far as justification – the last two Lords Paramount of the North have been executed by the Crown, two other Starks dead at royal hands, and now two more are held hostage. And there’s a royal decree that Robb and all his family, down to Rickon, have to go to King’s Landing. In light of the previous Starks who were unceremoniously killed when they obeyed such a decree, it’s hard to interpret that as anything else than a threat against Robb’s life and the lives of his entire family.

And at the time, Robb doesn’t have a legal alternative. Stannis hasn’t sent his letter or asked for Robb’s fealty, Renly has no right to rule. At that moment, it’s Joffrey or independence. 

Sorry if this is an obvious question, but when it comes to Edmure’s child, why would he be safe if its a girl and unsafe if its a boy? As they mention, if its a girl they’ll marry her to a Frey, but if its a boy they’ll kill Edmure. The Freys could strengthen their claim to Riverrun by wedding the girl, but the boy wouldn’t serve this purpose so they’d need to wait for a girl and the boy dies ‘stillborn’, right?

The Freys want a male lord of Riverrun with Frey blood. So if Edmure has a son, they don’t need Edmure anymore, because the Tully claim is now inextricably linked to the Freys.

However, if Edmure has a daughter, then her claim is questionable – BRYNDEN Tully could legitimately proceed her in the line of succession. 

When we talk about the Seven Kingdoms, do we exclude the Riverlands, and therefore the Tullys are not a Great House, or the Iron Islands, and so exclude the Greyjoys? Just how many of these high lords are there?

The Seven Kingdoms were the Kingdoms of the North, the Mountain and Vale, the Isles and Rivers, the Stormlands, the Rock, the Reach, and Dorne. The Riverlands being under occupation by the Iron Islands at the time wasn’t counted as one of the seven, although historically there were Kings of the Rivers and Hills.

When Aegon conquered, he raised up the Tullys to the level of a Great House as reward for being the first to rally to his side against Harren the Black. So there are eight Great Houses: the Starks, Arryns, Tullys, Greyjoys, Lannisters, Tyrells, Baratheons, and Martells.