I doubt it’s the Vale, the Blackfyres never had much support there.
If they’d landed in the Crownlands, or arguably even in the Stormlands, I think the Third Rebellion would have been much shorter than it was, as was the case in the Fourth Rebellion which began and ended with a single battle.
So I actually like the idea of a landing in the Reach, despite the extra distance, especially if the Blackfyres thought they had naval support from the Greyjoys.