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Hey folks, just wanted to let you know that the second paperback is now available on Amazon.com! With Volume II done and dusted, we’re optimistic that Volume I should be heading to print soon, so that you’ll be able to have the whole series on the shelf right next to your well-worn copies of A Song of Ice and Fire. As before, I have an ask for all of you: if you’ve not had a chance to get your…

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Do we know how the weather in the Reach compares to weather in the North during Westerosi wintertime? Presumably, southron regions are still relatively warmer than northern regions, but I don’t believe GRRM specifically addresses the issue.

Here’s what GRRM has to say:

And, by the way, does it snow in the South during the winter?

Yes, some times, in some places. The Mountains of the Moon get quite a lot of snow, the Vale and the riverlands and the west rather less, but some. King’s Landing gets snow infrequently, the Storm Lands and the Reach rarely, Oldtown and Dorne almost never.

So the Reach rarely has snow even during the winter. 

Is it realistic that Dany and Viserys were left to wander Essos in penury? As the last Targaryens surely they would have at least made attractive ornaments to any court, if not prestigious marriages for those who want to marry into such a bloodline?

Well, keep in mind the specific circumstances in which that happened:

“The garrison had been prepared to sell them to the Usurper, but one night Ser Willem Darry and four loyal men had broken into the nursery and stolen them both, along with her wet nurse, and set sail under cover of darkness for the safety of the Braavosian coast.

She remembered Ser Willem dimly, a great grey bear of a man, half-blind, roaring and bellowing orders from his sickbed. The servants had lived in terror of him, but he had always been kind to Dany. He called her “Little Princess” and sometimes “My Lady,” and his hands were soft as old leather. He never left his bed, though, and the smell of sickness clung to him day and night, a hot, moist, sickly sweet odor. That was when they lived in Braavos, in the big house with the red door. Dany had her own room there, with a lemon tree outside her window. After Ser Willem had died, the servants had stolen what little money they had left, and soon after they had been put out of the big house. Dany had cried when the red door closed behind them forever.”

…At first the magisters and archons and merchant princes were pleased to welcome the last Targaryens to their homes and tables, but as the years passed and the Usurper continued to sit upon the Iron Throne, doors closed and their lives grew meaner. Years past they had been forced to sell their last few treasures, and now even the coin they had gotten from Mother’s crown had gone. In the alleys and wine sinks of Pentos, they called her brother “the beggar king.” Dany did not want to know what they called her.

Darry didn’t have time to organize an entourage of Targaryen loyalists, move the treasury, and instead booked it. And while Darry was alive, Dany and Viserys lived the life of a royal in exile, living in a manse with many servants, intriguing with the Sealord and the Martells, etc. 

The downfall started when Darry died and left them without adult supervision and the servants stole their money, leaving them penniless and homeless – note those things are very much linked; with a more substantial entourage of loyal retainers, the looting would have been forestalled and they probably would have stayed in Braavos.

Even when they left, they were taken in by the elite of Essos. However, as with many exiles, once it becomes clear that the new regime isn’t going anywhere, they lost their political cachet and began

to fall into genteel poverty, cushioned by the fact that they still had treasure to spend. 

Joannalannister recommended that I ask you: How insulting would it be if someone broke off negotiations for a betrothal in order to have another one arranged? Like, it’s really obvious that Family X broke off negotiations with Family Y to immediately begin negotiating with Family Z.

Good question!

There’s a couple factors involved. 

First, how far along were the negotiations? If they were still in the preliminary stages, I think there’s a common understanding that everyone’s out there in the marriage market trying to make the best deal for their kid, so no hard feelings. However, if they were about to read the bans and suddenly someone jumps ship, there would be a lot of harmed feelings. 

Second, what are the relative power and prestige of the three houses? As we see with the (admittedly extreme) case of the Freys, the Starks, and the Westerlings, a big part of the Freys’ grievance was that they were ditched for a much poorer and weaker house, but one with a more prestigous bloodline, hitting the Freys right in the sore spot. But while the Freys would no doubt be angry regardless, if Robb had married Margaery Tyrell, it would be much harder to kick up a public fuss about that. 

Third, what are the previous relations between the various houses? In cases like the Brackens and the Blackwoods where two houses have a notable feud, any spat where one house gains at the the others’ expense is going to be viewed as personal, not business. (Think about how the Brackens and Blackwoods felt about Aegon IV’s mistresses, and then instensify it because you’re talking about more formal unions). 

Fourth, how public and/or harsh is the break? Tywin and the Unnamed Dornish Princess’ conflict over marriage proposals between the Lannisters, Martells, and Targaryens got very ugly, escalating into open blood feud, in no small part because there was very little diplomacy in the way that people were turned down, so that the loss of a marriage alliance was compounded by a loss of public face. 

Race for the Iron Throne Is In Print!

Race for the Iron Throne Is In Print!

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After meticulously editing for months on end, I am very happy to announce that the paperback edition of Race for the Iron Throne Volume II is now available on Amazon! Technically speaking, this is Part 1 of Volume II, because the physical manuscript turned out to be so long – turns out when you write long essays about each chapter in a doorstop fantasy novel, it adds up – that it would have been…

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Chapter-by-Chapter Analysis: Daenerys II, ASOS

Chapter-by-Chapter Analysis: Daenerys II, ASOS

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“This beggar queen must understand, such wonders do not come cheaply…Unsullied are the finest foot in all the world, and each represents many years of training. Tell her they are like Valyrian steel, folded over and over and hammered for years on end, until they are stronger and more resilient than any metal on earth.” Synopsis: Daenerys gets given the showfloor pitch by Kraznys mo Nakloz by way…

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How closely related do two people have to be before one killing the other is kinslaying? What about extenuating circumstances, such as Bloodraven killing Daemon while they were fighting on opposite sides in battle, or Stannis unconsciously killing Renly while the latter openly talked of killing him? Do you think killing through an intermediary or executioner still counts, or are the Gods not fond of rules lawyers?

I’ve talked about this before, but let’s tackle some of these situations:

Close relations: as I’ve discussed here and here, Rickard Karstark is completely full of shit. As GRRM himself says, “The other factor, which you haven’t raised, is degree of kinship. Killing a parent is probably worse than killing a sibling, but either one is a lot worse than killing a distant cousin. Lord Karstark was stretching that aspect of it when he tried to accuse Robb of kinslaying… but of course he was hoping to save his head.” I personally lean more to Karstark at least subconsciously wanting to die via suicide-by-cop, but it’s always good to get validated by Word of Author. 

Killing in battle: according to GRRM“Fighting a battle in which a brother dies might be frowned upon, but killing him with your own hand would be considered far worse.” I would argue that Bloodraven is called a kinslayer throughout Sworn Sword and Mystery Knight, because he organized an ambush and gave very specific orders to kill his half-brother and his half-nephews (as opposed to attacking the Blackfyre vanguard as a unit) – which is strong evidence of intent – and because he took up a bow himself, rather than standing back and giving the order.  

Killing in a tourney/duel: Maekar is sometimes called a kinslayer because he definitely struck the killing blow in front of witnesses, and his defense that:

“Some men will say I meant to kill my brother. The gods know it is a lie, but I will hear the whispers till the day I die. And it was my mace that dealt the fatal blow, I have no doubt. The only other foes he faced in the melee were three Kingsguard, whose vows forbade them to do any more than defend themselves. So it was me. Strange to say, I do not recall the blow that broke his skull. Is that a mercy or a curse? Some of both, I think.”

…is hard to assess, given that it’s all about what Maekar’s mindset was.

Giving orders in battle: as GRRM mentions w/r/t to Renly, “another factor might be whether Renly gave any orders in respect to Stannis. Did he command Loras to kill him, or offer a reward to whosoever slew his brother? Did he tell his men to see that his brother was taken alive? Did he not address the issue either way?” And what is it that Renly says before the battle that never was?

“Ser Loras will break them, and after that it will be chaos…when my brother falls, see that no insult is done to his corpse. He is my own blood, I will not have his head paraded about on a spear.”

Yeah, there’s a reason he’s a bad man with good PR.

Unconscious killing: I’ve discussed Stannis here.

GIving orders to an executioner: I’ve looked through various sources, and I haven’t seen an example of kin ordering the execution of kin. We don’t see anyone saying anything in either way about Tywin getting ready to kill Tyrion, but you know what they say about absence of evidence…

How powerful are the Mallisters? I mean, they hold the entire west coast of the riverlands and are bound to be the shield against the iron islands, so they should have some big fleet and also fast response cavalry in enough numbers to deal with any raids and invasions. Also, do you think Seagard is a trading port, cause i for sure wouldnt go trade there if i had to pass right through the ironborn to make any deal. How do you think that works for the people around Seagard and the Mallisters?

That’s a tough one. 

We don’t have much in the way of hard textual evidence, and the Riverlands in general are really tricky because they underperform in power given their population and relative prosperity. What we know is that A. the Mallisters have a fleet of six longships and two war galleys (which is not a large fleet, but not a small one either), and B. were able to hold off the main force of the Ironborn during Greyjoy’s Rebellion. 

I did an estimate in the past and said that I thought 4,000-5,000 was a reasonable figure. It’s not the most solid estimate I’ve ever done, for the reasons stated above, but I don’t think they’re particularly weaker than the Freys, given their geostrategic location, its economic advantages in trade (to the extent that the Freys are wealthy, most of their trade has to pass through Seagard), and the historical evidence.

As to Seagard itself. It definitely is a port – Theon sails to Pyke from Seagard on a merchant ship from Oldtown – although it’s definitely a port town at most. As for why it has trade despite the Ironborn presence, keep in mind Ironborn piracy has lapsed for long periods of time (several thousand years), and that the presence of pirates tends to presuppose trade since pirates don’t bother to sail where there’s no one to rob, because often geography means that ships have to sail through a given region no matter what. (Think about the real world example of huge amounts of shipping going through certain pirate-infamous locations like the Caribbean or the South China Sea or the Horn of Africa….)

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In this case, if you’re going to trade from the North, the Vale, or the Riverlands to the Westerlands or from the Westerlands and even parts of the Reach to the same, it’s faster to go through Seagard and trans-ship down the Blue Fork or portage over to the Kingsroad and then over to White Harbor than to sail all the way around the continent or to take it overland. Not safer, but faster, and since time literally is money when you’re talking about transportation costs and their relationship to profit margins, a lot of folks will go with the faster option. 

Hi maester steven! Do the nobles or, more likely, the maesters in asoiaf consider the Starks the highest ranking great house, since they’ve been ruling basically forever? Or since andal tradition is stronger in the south, are the arryns preferred? What about the Lannisters? They’re the richest and almost as old as the Arryns. Or are all the great houses equally lesser to the Targaryens and thats all that matters? Sorry for the amount of questions, but also thanks!

I think the heralds’ calculations would be a bit complicated:

  • The Starks are the oldest (although the Lannisters might dispute this), but they’re also First Men worshippers of the Old Gods who kept themselves apart from the South by force, so they’re a bit foreign. They’re also relatively poorer than their southron peers, which also counts against them a bit (remember Sansa thinking about Jory Cassel’s fashion during the Hand’s Tourney?). 
  • The Lannisters are technically older than the Arryns, but only through the female line (although six thousand years in the male line isn’t anything to sneeze at), so I imagine that’s a point of dispute between those two houses. They’re also the richest, so to the extent that people care about magnificence, that would hold sway. 
  • The Arryns are the most Andal of all the Great Houses – they are the rulers of the “promised land” that the Seven showed to the Andals, they even claim descent from Hugor of the Hill himself. So I would imagine that would hold more sway among the pious. (And it doesn’t hurt that they have close ties to the Targaryens as well.)
  • The Nymeros-Martells are relatively young, their royal claim only dating back to a thousand years (the Martell half goes back further, but like the Tyrells they didn’t claim kingship). Like the Starks, they are also a bit foreign because of their Rhoynish heritage, and because they held out against the Targaryens – although this is a relatively recent thing and wouldn’t have been an issue prior to 0 BC. 
  • Prior to Robert, the Baratheons are a younger house whose claim to royalty comes either from the female line through Argella or through the various Targaryens who’ve married into the family (plus, there’s the whole thing about Orys being a bastard). On the other hand, the Targaryens somewhat reset the rules, discounting longevity in favor of proximity to the Old Blood of Valyria. 
  • The Tyrells only have royal blood through the female line, and hold Highgarden due to the favor of Aegon the Conqueror when other houses have a better claim by blood. On the other hand, they rule the largest and most fertile kingdom in Westeros, and they put the most effort into putting on a chivalrous display, so that can’t be discounted. 
  • The Tullys have no royal blood, and their kingdom is relatively weak although quite fertile and economically active, so those things balance out to put them somewhere in the middle. 
  • The Greyjoys have a pretty ancient claim – the Grey King of the Age of Heroes and the most kingsmoot kings before the Greyirons took over. However, they haven’t been kings for six thousand years, and they rule over a small, poor kingdom of pirates.

Chapter-by-Chapter Analysis: Arya IV, ASOS

Chapter-by-Chapter Analysis: Arya IV, ASOS

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credit to Patrick McEvoy
“The lightning lord is everywhere and nowhere, skinny squirrel.”
Synopsis: Arya and the Merry Men go looking for Robin Hood.
SPOILER WARNING: This chapter analysis, and all following, will contain spoilers for all Song of Ice and Fire novels and Game of Thrones episodes. Caveat lector.
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