In one of your previous answers to a question, you said you believe that Tyrion wanted to become the adviser to Daenerys. Any reason why you would believe this? I would think that he would feel somewhat anxious that she may harm him due to his relation to the family that kill most of the Targs. Also, why would you say the Blackfyres have more Targ blood than Daeny?

I think there’s a couple reasons:

1. Tyrion needs a new ruler to place on the Iron Throne in place of his family if he wants to live in Westeros, let alone inherit Casterly Rock. 

2. Dany’s got the dragons. She’s the smart candidate to back. 

3. They share a hatred for his family. 

Regarding the Blackfyres, the key here is to look at family trees. Daeron II (who’s grandmother was a Rogare) married Mariah Martell; Maekar I married Dyana Dayne, Aegon V married Betha Blackwood, etc. Dany’s father and grandfather both married their sisters, but that was in the wake of a lot of out-breeding. 

But the Blackfyres have a different descent. Daemon was the son of Aegon IV, but he was also the son of Daena the Defiant, who was the child of Aegon III and Daenaera Velaryon, who have both Valyrian and Targ blood in their lineage. Thus, Daemon had more Targaryen blood than his half-brother. Given Daemon’s claim from both of his parents and his desire to marry his half-sister Daenerys, it’s quite likely that his children practiced more consistent in-breeding than the main Targaryen line – hence Maelys the Monstrous.

Chapter-by-Chapter Analysis: Arya VI, ACOK

Chapter-by-Chapter Analysis: Arya VI, ACOK

Harrenhal

“The Lannisters had taken everything: father, friends, home, hope, courage…”

Synopsis: Arya and co. meet Ser Gregor, the Tickler, Raff the Sweetling, Chyswick, Weese, and the rest of the gang on the road to the Happiest Place in Westeros.

SPOILER WARNING: This chapter analysis, and all following, will contain spoilers for all Song of Ice and Fire novels and Game of Thrones episodes. Caveat…

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Hi! just read your thoughts on Marvel’s Civil War, (I was like you similarly disappointed in the approach and execution of the comics though that doesn’t include the artwork). I think your critique hit some really good points, but I do wonder if you had any thoughts on how the writers should have approached the comics and how you think it should’ve played out? (if that isn’t too heavy an ask)

boiledleather:

Not too heavy at all! If I were the editor I’d have asked for the following:

1. Distribute the fan-favorite characters more evenly (again, this was pre-Iron Man movie) so readers’ sympathies are split

2. Don’t make the pro-registration side outright fascists

3. Don’t make the anti-registration side Civil Rights Movement analogues

4. Don’t avoid the fact that registration simply means alerting the government to your ability to kill at will, and that rejecting registration is embracing vigilantism

5. No cheap stunts you know you’ll undo within months, if they even last that long. Make all the big moments actually matter.

6. Don’t be Mark Millar

Sean, while I agree with some of your criticism of Civil War (and indeed it was the event that made me quit Marvel comics), I’m not sure this works. 

Haven’t you essentially recreated the problems with Civil War, but on the other side? If the Superhuman Registration Act is essentially equivalent to gun registration, but for people who can blow up large chunks of the planet, doesn’t opposition become just as irrational as the pro side in OTL? And wouldn’t that create problems with fan-favorite distribution and characterization?

Also, given the legacy of the Mutant Registration Act from the 80s/90s, I’m not sure it’s possible to avoid a fascistic vibe. 

Is Aurane Waters the smartest character in the entire series? He manipulates Cersei, but never threatens anyone else. When Cersei gets in trouble, he takes what he can (in this case, the Royal Fleet) and flees. Because he has the Royal Fleet of Westeros, he’s on an island, and the other two navies (Ironborn + Redwynes) are fighting one another it’s unlikely Westeros has the means to bring him to justice. Maybe there is a 3rd path in the Game of Thrones: run away.

Well, he’s certainly enjoying himself now. OTHO, when the war’s over, he’s probably screwed. Pirates seldom live to old age. 

I just made a post on r/asoiaf trying to map out the future Dunk and Egg titles/plots and one thing that I think we’ll have to get a story about is the Rat, the Pig and the Hawk. Any theories on what/who the hell they could be? The details seem extremely scant/weird and their two mentions are over thirty years apart, but the specific mention with no details makes me think he’s saving it for a story.

Yeah, I was talking about this with a friend the other day and we’re a bit puzzled too. The one thing we came up with is that RPH might have assassinated Daemon II to allow Haegon I to be crowned. 

Which gets us to the role that espionage plays in civil wars. We’re familiar of course with the way in which Roose Bolton and co. captured Harrenhal, the Red Wedding’s foundation in an ongoing intelligence operation between the Westerlings, Tywin, Walder Frey, and Roose Bolton. 

However, with the publication of the two Dance of the Dragons short stories and the WOIAF, I think we can see a more prominent trend. Blood and Cheese, the theft of Viserys’ crown by Ser Steffon Darklyn, and the disappearance of the royal treasury and Aegon II during the Dance. In the Blackfyre Rebellions, we have Bloodraven’s thousand eyes, the Whitewalls conspiracy, the bit I had forgotten where a thief called Quickfingers almost managed to steal dragoneggs for the Blackfyres…and I think RPH.

Consider this: it’s not unknown for groups of outlaws to become infamous and require royal crushing (the Kingswood Brotherhood, the Brotherhood Without Banners). But it’s very odd that RPH are involved in both an assault on a royal, may have been involved in the death of Prince Aelor, and then lead a rebellion serious enough to claim the life of a royal prince. 

So it may well have been that RPH were agents of the Blackfyres, left behind to create chaos and undermine House Targaryen. 

Let’s say at the beginning of the series you could take anyone’s position on the Small Coincil, even Hand, which would you choose, why, and what would you try and accomplish given the state of the monarchy at the time? (And please don’t say master of ships so you can pull an Aurane Waters and get the heck outta westeros and head to the summer isles).

tcarve:

racefortheironthrone:

tcarve:

racefortheironthrone:

Master of Coins. Build a canal linking the Mander to the Blackwater and the Trident to Ironman’s Bay. Charge 10 gold a ship, that’ll put a significant dent in the debt. 

I can think of several problems with that.

  1. The crown is already waist deep in debt at the start of the series. Where is the initial capital for this mammoth undertaking coming from?
  2. Per your analysis of the series the Westerosi monarchy is pretty weak. How would you convince the lords upon whose land these canals will be dug to cooperate? Would you allow them to tax shipping too?
  3. Connecting the Trident to Ironman’s Bay seems likely to meet with a lot of resistance from the Riverlords. Is it really a good idea to provide the Ironborn with easy access to the Trident? There would probably still be memories of Ironborn rule in the Riverlands, and I doubt anyone’s trusting the Greyjoys not to exploit such a strategic weakness when Balon’s first rebellion was only nine years previous.

1. That’s a fair point. My only argument would be that the true state of the crown’s debt and income is highly uncertain, as Littlefinger cooked the books hardcore. 

2. Yeah, they’d get a share. And they’d benefit from the improvements to their local economy – as their smallfolk get richer, they get richer.

3. You can more easily close off a canal than a river, and the Ironborn can already get from IB to the Trident by portaging their boats – as Harwyn Hoare did when he conquered the Riverlands. 

I agree with you that Littlefinger is seriously gaming the crown’s finances, but there is no uncertainty about the debts to the Lannisters, the Faith, the Iron Bank, etcetera. They might not be willing to support such a venture, especially after Aerys’ talk of ludicrous public works projects might have soured general opinion on the concept.

I’m not sure that a canal would be a boost to the economy it’s dug through. As it facilitates faster travel the merchants would take fewer stops along the way and (presumably) thus spend less money. Not to mention the businesses (for want of a better word) along the Rose Road, who would suffer as their customers change to the canal route. Like I said I’m not really sure of this though.

It may be that the Ironborn can already portage into the Trident, but I’d imagine such a manoeuvre to be vulnerable and necessitate the neutralisation of Seagard. If a canal is built, and the Ironborn can capture the Bay end, then they are much less vulnerable as they enter the Riverlands. Raising a sufficiently defensive structure there is going to add significantly to your initial costs, and who’s going to take responsibility for garrisoning it?

I guess I just can’t see the Mallisters being as cavalier about the potential weakness.

1. The debts are real. On the other hand, if I can get my hands on Littlefinger’s assets, cancel the crown’s debts to the Lannisters once their treason is made known, and actually start paying the debts down instead of essentially taking out iterative mortgages to pay the interests, I think I’d be on steady enough footing. 

2. A couple hundred years of world history says you’re wrong about canals. Faster travel means more and cheaper goods sold, leading to a big increase in economic growth and living standards; canals also allow Westerosi farmers and manufacturers to sell their goods to a wider market, improving their lot as well. Likewise, it also means more travelers, making up for the loss of income per traveler. You’re still going to get plenty of travel along the Royal Roads – canals make sense for certain kinds of goods, not others – especially if you set up a Royal Mail and a consumer coach service. 

3. If the canal terminates at Seagard, there’s literally no difference. Both require neutralizing Seagard. And if anything a canal is more secure than a river, because canals can have locks built into them to halt progress. And I think the Mallisters would like it very much if Seagard became as big and rich and Lannisport, which it would.