How much of what Melisandre does is magic and how much is trickery? I don’t think the glamours or Renly’s shadow baby can be explained by anything other than magic, but couldn’t Pylos and Sallador Saan have tipped her off about Cressen’s and Davos’ assassination attempts? Even with Courtney Penrose, we see a shadow baby and later find out he was killed, but couldn’t it have been one of his own men? Especially since his death didn’t involve cutting through hardened steel with a single cut?

  1. It’s magic, although magic can be used as trickery (Melisandre’s bit with the leeches, for example, is using clairvoyance to pretend that she can cause people’s deaths through blood magic).
  2. We know from Melisandre’s POV chapter in ADWD that her ability to see and understand the future in the flames is sharper the closer things are to her own person. 
  3. From a Doylist perspective, why go to the effort of writing out a whole Davos chapter in which Melisandre explains she needs Davos’ boat to get inside the magical protections of Storm’s End, if the magic had nothing to do with ti? 

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