Because Renly had the rest of the Reach and Stannis had 5,000 men. And I am sure that Randyll Tarly believes that the Gods favor the side with the biggest battalions.
Why wouldn’t Randyll Tarly join Stannis? Stannis is the sort of man Randyll would respect, tough, cold, ruthless, and a good commander. Stannis is also married to the same family that Randyll’s wife comes from and I cant see how Randyll could be all that loyal to someone like Mace Tyrell.
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