Good question. I think it will be substantially different: for one thing, Jon’s not going to be the one who takes down the Boltons. That’s why GRRM did the head-fake at the end of ADWD. My guess is that Benioff and Weiss simply copy-pasted Jon over Stannis in that particular plotline, while moving up Stannis’ end to get him out of the way.
I do think that the general arc will be similar – Jon wrestling with the meaning of his resurrection and his feelings of betrayal by the Night’s Watch, Jon leaving the Night’s Watch, Jon reuniting with his family but having complicated political tensions (although I think it’ll be both Sansa and Rickon and the people around him). Will he end up being crowned King in the North? Maybe, but I could see Benioff and Weiss deciding to write Rickon out in favor of a more straightforward hero narrative.