The Season 5 DVD extras apparently confirm that Melisandre and Stannis do burn Shireen and that Brienne actually did kill Stannis. Does the latter confirmation change your opinion that Stannis will be the 1000th LC? Surely if Stannis was going to be a significant player at the Wall/in the North in the future he has to survive somehow; Brienne won’t necessarily be the one to kill him in the books but if he dies in some other way won’t that obviate a future arc at the Wall?

I think I’ve already addressed this here

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