Based on the discussions of where the relevant people were at the right time, TWOIAF leaves open the physical possibility of A+J=T. I used to be dead-set against Tyrion as a Targaryen bastard but after considering him as a potential dragonrider, his mother-dying-in-childbirth situation he shares with Targs Dany and Jon, and his physical deformities (mixed eyes, stuntedness, Targ history of malformed babies) I concede that it certainly isn’t impossible. Is this a red herring or does it matter?

I’m with joannalannister. A+J != T. 

WOIAF to me actually made it less likely – she was away from court and living in Casterly Rock at the time, he had just publicly humiliated her, etc. 

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